StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca v León

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 01:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Toluca 2–0 León

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 56.53%1.77rättvist odds
EV -1.63%
Fördel -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

León (Borta)

Prognos 19.72%5.07rättvist odds
EV +10.45%
Fördel +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
Tillväxt +0.238%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.74%4.21rättvist odds
EV -1.22%
Fördel -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Toluca (Hemma): 56.53%; León (Borta): 19.72%; Oavgjort: 23.74%. För León (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.07. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.45%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:53
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:53
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 00:49
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 00:45
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 00:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 01:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 01:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%2.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-09-03 01:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%5.5%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10