StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca v León

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 01:11 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 2–0 León

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 56.53%1.77faire Quote
EV -1.63%
Vorteil -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

León (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.72%5.07faire Quote
EV +10.45%
Vorteil +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
Wachstum +0.238%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.74%4.21faire Quote
EV -1.22%
Vorteil -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Toluca (Heim): 56.53%; León (Auswärts): 19.72%; Unentschieden: 23.74%. Für León (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.07. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:55
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:53
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:53
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 00:49
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 00:45
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 00:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 00:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-03 01:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 01:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 01:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%2.7%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-09-03 01:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%5.5%2026-09-03 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-09-03 01:10