Idioma:Português
Toluca v León
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Toluca (Local)
Previsão 56.53%1.77odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.939%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.34%56.27%56.47%58.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.671.671.7464.94%59.91%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
León (Visitante)
Previsão 19.72%5.07odd justa
EV +10.45%
Vantagem +1.87%
Kelly +2.27%
Crescimento +0.238%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.96%19.95%19.68%21.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.554.505.6025.00%21.99%22.22%17.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 23.74%4.21odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.294%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.16
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.83%23.78%23.86%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.853.854.1628.57%25.95%25.97%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toluca (Local): 56.53%; León (Visitante): 19.72%; Empate: 23.74%. Para León (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.07. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.45%.
Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV +10.45%E +1.87%K +2.27%G +0.238% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.07%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.03%EV -1.22%E -0.294%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.83%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.90%EV -0.395%E -0.078%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.65%E -0.646%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.38%E -0.276%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.35%E -0.684%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.33%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.31%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.02%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.30%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.27%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -10.26%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.24%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -12.23%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.60%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -15.19%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.77%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -16.17%E -3.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.96%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.16%E -4.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.90%E -4.83%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -21.11%E -5.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -14.52%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |