Language:English
Union La Calera v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 31.18%3.21fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 41.40%; La Serena (Visit): 31.18%; Draw: 27.41%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |