Język:Polski
Union La Calera v La Serena
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Union La Calera (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.40%2.42kurs godziwy
EV -3.94%
Przewaga -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.32
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
La Serena (Goście)
Prognoza 31.18%3.21kurs godziwy
EV +1.35%
Przewaga +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Wzrost +0.008%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 27.41%3.65kurs godziwy
EV -1.32%
Przewaga -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Union La Calera (Gospodarze): 41.40%; La Serena (Goście): 31.18%; Remis: 27.41%. Dla wyniku La Serena (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.21. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.35%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |