StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Union La Calera v La Serena

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 22:15 UTC

Endstand: Union La Calera 0–1 La Serena

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Union La Calera (Heim)

Prognose 41.40%2.42faire Quote
EV -3.94%
Vorteil -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

La Serena (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.18%3.21faire Quote
EV +1.35%
Vorteil +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.41%3.65faire Quote
EV -1.32%
Vorteil -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Union La Calera (Heim): 41.40%; La Serena (Auswärts): 31.18%; Unentschieden: 27.41%. Für La Serena (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.21. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.35%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:14
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:45
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:40
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 22:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 22:14
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 22:14
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 09:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 22:13
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 21:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 22:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-31 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 22:14
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-08-31 22:10
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-08-31 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-31 22:10
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%2.7%2026-08-31 22:10