Langue:Français
Union La Calera v La Serena
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union La Calera (Local)
Prévision 41.40%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
La Serena (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union La Calera (Local) : 41.40% ; La Serena (Visiteur) : 31.18% ; Match nul : 27.41%. Pour La Serena (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.21. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.35%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |