StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union La Calera v La Serena

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Union La Calera 0–1 La Serena

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union La Calera (Hemma)

Prognos 41.40%2.42rättvist odds
EV -3.94%
Fördel -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

La Serena (Borta)

Prognos 31.18%3.21rättvist odds
EV +1.35%
Fördel +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.41%3.65rättvist odds
EV -1.32%
Fördel -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Union La Calera (Hemma): 41.40%; La Serena (Borta): 31.18%; Oavgjort: 27.41%. För La Serena (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.21. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.35%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:14
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:45
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:40
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 22:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 22:14
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 22:14
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 09:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 22:13
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 21:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 22:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-31 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 22:14
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 22:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-08-31 22:10
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-08-31 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-31 22:10
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%2.7%2026-08-31 22:10