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Union La Calera v La Serena
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Union La Calera (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.40%2.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.94%
Преимущество -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.83%41.41%41.55%43.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.19%45.45%43.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
La Serena (Гости)
Прогноз 31.18%3.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.35%
Преимущество +0.415%
Kelly +0.599%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.28%31.18%31.13%32.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.83%33.90%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.41%3.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.32%
Преимущество -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.03%27.41%27.33%28.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Union La Calera (Хозяева): 41.40%; La Serena (Гости): 31.18%; Ничья: 27.41%. Для исхода «La Serena (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.21. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.35%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +1.35%E +0.415%K +0.599%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -10.15%E -4.68%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -0.212%E -0.066%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.17%EV -0.835%E -0.263%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -7.62%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -9.32%E -4.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -14.29%E -6.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.50%E -3.84%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.70%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.02%E -4.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.12%E -7.38%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |