Language:English
Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ñublense (Local)
Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 18.87%5.30fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 5.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ñublense (Local): 55.34%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 18.87%; Draw: 25.78%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |