语言:简体中文
Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ñublense (主队)
预测 55.34%1.81公平赔率
EV -5.36%
优势 -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Universidad de Concepción (客队)
预测 18.87%5.30公平赔率
EV +4.76%
优势 +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 5.55
博彩公司预测分布
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.78%3.88公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.74
博彩公司预测分布
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ñublense (主队)：55.34%；Universidad de Concepción (客队)：18.87%；平局：25.78%。 对于“Universidad de Concepción (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.30。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.55，对应+4.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |