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Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ñublense (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.34%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.36%
Преимущество -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Universidad de Concepción (Гости)
Прогноз 18.87%5.30справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.76%
Преимущество +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
Рост +0.050%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.78%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.58%
Преимущество -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ñublense (Хозяева): 55.34%; Universidad de Concepción (Гости): 18.87%; Ничья: 25.78%. Для исхода «Universidad de Concepción (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.30. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.55, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.76%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |