مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción

البداية: 2026-05-23 19:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ñublense 2–2 Universidad de Concepción

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ñublense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.34%1.81السعر العادل
EV -5.36%
الأفضلية -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Universidad de Concepción (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.87%5.30السعر العادل
EV +4.76%
الأفضلية +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.78%3.88السعر العادل
EV -3.58%
الأفضلية -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:00
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:59
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:59
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:59
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:57
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 18:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 19:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:00
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 18:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-05-23 19:00