Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción

Inizio: 2026-05-23 19:02 UTC

Finale: Ñublense 2–2 Universidad de Concepción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ñublense (Casa)

Previsione 55.34%1.81quota equa
EV -5.36%
Vantaggio -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.87%5.30quota equa
EV +4.76%
Vantaggio +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.78%3.88quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ñublense (Casa): 55.34%; Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta): 18.87%; Pareggio: 25.78%. Per Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.30. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.76%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:59
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:59
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:57
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 18:59
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-05-23 19:00