La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 55.34%1.81momio equitativo
EV -5.36%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 18.87%5.30momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:57 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |