L’École des cotesFrançais
Ñublense v Universidad de Concepción
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ñublense (Local)
Prévision 55.34%1.81cote équitable
EV -5.36%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -7.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.78%55.43%55.37%57.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.97%59.70%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.87%5.30cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.857%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.050%
avec la cote maximale 5.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.32%18.82%18.87%20.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.804.755.5522.73%20.85%21.05%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -0.957%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.41%25.74%25.76%27.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.553.7432.26%28.17%28.17%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.21%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV +4.76%E +0.857%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +3.81%E +0.693%K +0.847%G +0.032% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.58%EV +3.06%E +0.560%K +0.685%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.907%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -1.85%E -0.356%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -3.74%E -0.733%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.63%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -6.57%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.39%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.29%EV -7.32%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.32%EV -3.58%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:57 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.14%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.18%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -20.08%E -6.48%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 19:00 |