Language:English
La Serena v Huachipato
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 43.44%2.30fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Huachipato (Visit)
Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -0.056%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 43.44%; Huachipato (Visit): 27.38%; Draw: 29.17%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.652. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.650, with an expected value of -0.056%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 04:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |