Die Schule der Quoten

La Serena v Huachipato

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-26 16:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

La Serena (Heim)

Prognose 43.44%2.30faire Quote
EV -4.42%
Vorteil -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Huachipato (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.38%3.65faire Quote
EV -0.056%
Vorteil -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.17%3.43faire Quote
EV -3.73%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 04:05
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 02:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:34
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 17:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:30
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 02:15
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 17:03
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 17:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:35
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 06:54
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 12:43
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:35
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:04
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 02:15
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-20 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%21.0%2026-04-20 02:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%8.1%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%14.0%2026-04-23 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:05