L’École des cotesFrançais
La Serena v Huachipato
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
La Serena (Local)
Prévision 43.44%2.30cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Huachipato (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV -0.056%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.17%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 04:05 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |