La scuola delle quoteItaliano
La Serena v Huachipato
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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La Serena (Casa)
Previsione 43.44%2.30quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Huachipato (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.38%3.65quota equa
EV -0.056%
Vantaggio -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.17%3.43quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 04:05 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |