A Escola das Odds

La Serena v Huachipato

Início: 2026-04-26 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

La Serena (Local)

Previsão 43.44%2.30odd justa
EV -4.42%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Huachipato (Visitante)

Previsão 27.38%3.65odd justa
EV -0.056%
Vantagem -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.17%3.43odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 04:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 04:05
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 02:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:34
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 17:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 14:30
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 02:15
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 17:03
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 17:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 02:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:35
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:35
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 06:54
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 12:43
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:35
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:04
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 02:15
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-20 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%21.0%2026-04-20 02:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%8.1%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%14.0%2026-04-23 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23%2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80%19.1%2026-04-23 22:05