مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
La Serena v Huachipato
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
La Serena (المضيف)
التنبؤ 43.44%2.30السعر العادل
EV -4.42%
الأفضلية -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Huachipato (الضيف)
التنبؤ 27.38%3.65السعر العادل
EV -0.056%
الأفضلية -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.17%3.43السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 04:05 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |