La escuela de los momiosEspañol
La Serena v Huachipato
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 43.44%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.37%43.48%45.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.88%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Huachipato (Visitante)
Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -0.056%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.021%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.39%27.35%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.303.303.6533.90%30.29%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%29.23%29.18%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.143.153.3036.36%31.87%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.61%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -3.34%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.056%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 04:05 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.39%EV -6.08%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.46%E -3.50%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -5.81%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.39%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:03 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.77%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -12.24%E -6.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.11%E -6.56%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.90%EV -13.98%E -7.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.49%E -5.41%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -15.72%E -8.10%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.22%E -6.52%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.28%EV -17.02%E -8.91%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.66%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.06%EV -19.77%E -7.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-04-20 02:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.23% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 31.80% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |