Language:English
La Serena v Cobresal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 60.76%1.65fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cobresal (Visit)
Prediction 17.66%5.66fair odd
EV -0.220%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.58%4.63fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 60.76%; Cobresal (Visit): 17.66%; Draw: 21.58%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.65, with an expected value of -0.220%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |