语言:简体中文
La Serena v Cobresal
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
La Serena (主队)
预测 60.76%1.65公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cobresal (客队)
预测 17.66%5.66公平赔率
EV -0.220%
优势 -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.65
博彩公司预测分布
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.58%4.63公平赔率
EV -1.83%
优势 -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.55
博彩公司预测分布
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：La Serena (主队)：60.76%；Cobresal (客队)：17.66%；平局：21.58%。 对于“Cobresal (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.66。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.65，期望值为-0.220%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |