StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

La Serena v Cobresal

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-23 16:00 UTC

Endstand: La Serena 3–3 Cobresal

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

La Serena (Heim)

Prognose 60.76%1.65faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.66%5.66faire Quote
EV -0.220%
Vorteil -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.58%4.63faire Quote
EV -1.83%
Vorteil -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: La Serena (Heim): 60.76%; Cobresal (Auswärts): 17.66%; Unentschieden: 21.58%. Für Cobresal (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.66. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 5.65, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.220%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 15:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 15:55
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:24
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 15:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:33
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 15:34
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:44
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 15:53
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:29
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 15:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 15:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-23 15:55