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La Serena v Cobresal
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
La Serena (Хозяева)
Прогноз 60.76%1.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.17%
Преимущество -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cobresal (Гости)
Прогноз 17.66%5.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.220%
Преимущество -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.58%4.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.83%
Преимущество -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: La Serena (Хозяева): 60.76%; Cobresal (Гости): 17.66%; Ничья: 21.58%. Для исхода «Cobresal (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.66. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 5.65, математическое ожидание — -0.220%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |