Idioma:Español
La Serena v Cobresal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 60.76%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cobresal (Visitante)
Predicción 17.66%5.66momio equitativo
EV -0.220%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.58%4.63momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: La Serena (Local): 60.76%; Cobresal (Visitante): 17.66%; Empate: 21.58%. Para Cobresal (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.65, con un valor esperado de -0.220%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |