Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

La Serena v Cobresal

Inizio: 2026-08-23 16:00 UTC

Finale: La Serena 3–3 Cobresal

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

La Serena (Casa)

Previsione 60.76%1.65quota equa
EV -2.17%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cobresal (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.66%5.66quota equa
EV -0.220%
Vantaggio -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.58%4.63quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: La Serena (Casa): 60.76%; Cobresal (Trasferta): 17.66%; Pareggio: 21.58%. Per Cobresal (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.66. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 5.65, con un valore atteso del -0.220%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:29
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 15:29
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 15:55
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:24
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:29
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 15:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 15:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:33
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 15:34
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:44
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 15:53
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:29
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 15:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 15:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 15:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-08-23 15:40
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-08-23 15:55