Langue:Français
La Serena v Cobresal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
La Serena (Local)
Prévision 60.76%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.88%60.48%60.72%62.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.15%65.36%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cobresal (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.66%5.66cote équitable
EV -0.220%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.047%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.90%17.77%17.69%19.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.205.6522.22%19.66%19.23%17.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.58%4.63cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.516%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.49%21.75%21.59%24.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.124.074.5526.32%24.27%24.54%21.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : La Serena (Local) : 60.76% ; Cobresal (Visiteur) : 17.66% ; Match nul : 21.58%. Pour Cobresal (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.65, pour une espérance de -0.220% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.17%E -1.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.76%EV -4.46%E -0.824%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -2.78%E -1.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.76%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.47%EV -3.38%E -2.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.05%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.52%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -5.21%E -3.34%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.53%E -4.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -18.01%E -4.74%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.99%EV -0.220%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.26%EV -3.40%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.85%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -5.82%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.62%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.91%E -0.647%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.31%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.59%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.15%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.64%E -5.02%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.94%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.63%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.92%EV -8.25%E -5.46%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -10.07%E -6.80%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.68%E -7.26%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.20%EV -11.28%E -7.73%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.50%E -8.68%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.11%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.38%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |