语言:简体中文
Sport Recife v Vila Nova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sport Recife (主队)
预测 50.73%1.97公平赔率
EV -5.13%
优势 -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.87
博彩公司预测分布
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Vila Nova (客队)
预测 20.86%4.79公平赔率
EV +2.22%
优势 +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.41%3.52公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.36
博彩公司预测分布
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sport Recife (主队)：50.73%；Vila Nova (客队)：20.86%；平局：28.41%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.79。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+2.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 21:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |