L’École des cotesFrançais
Sport Recife v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sport Recife (Local)
Prévision 50.73%1.97cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.86%4.79cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 21:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |