Die Schule der Quoten

Sport Recife v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-01 22:04 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sport Recife (Heim)

Prognose 50.73%1.97faire Quote
EV -5.13%
Vorteil -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.86%4.79faire Quote
EV +2.22%
Vorteil +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.41%3.52faire Quote
EV -4.55%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 21:46
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 21:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 21:59
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:58
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:00
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:58
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 21:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 22:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 21:58
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.0%2026-04-01 22:00