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Sport Recife v Vila Nova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Sport Recife (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.73%1.97справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.13%
Преимущество -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.87
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Vila Nova (Гости)
Прогноз 20.86%4.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.22%
Преимущество +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.41%3.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.55%
Преимущество -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Sport Recife (Хозяева): 50.73%; Vila Nova (Гости): 20.86%; Ничья: 28.41%. Для исхода «Vila Nova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.79. 11 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.22%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 21:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |