StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-04-01 22:04 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sport Recife (Hemma)

Prognos 50.73%1.97rättvist odds
EV -5.13%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 20.86%4.79rättvist odds
EV +2.22%
Fördel +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.41%3.52rättvist odds
EV -4.55%
Fördel -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sport Recife (Hemma): 50.73%; Vila Nova (Borta): 20.86%; Oavgjort: 28.41%. För Vila Nova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.79. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.22%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 21:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:58
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:00
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 21:58
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.0%2026-04-01 22:00