A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Sport Recife v Vila Nova
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Sport Recife (Local)
Previsão 50.73%1.97odd justa
EV -5.13%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Previsão 20.86%4.79odd justa
EV +2.22%
Vantagem +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
Crescimento +0.013%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 28.41%3.52odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.36
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 21:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 21:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |