مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-04-01 22:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.73%1.97السعر العادل
EV -5.13%
الأفضلية -2.75%
Kelly -5.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.36%50.89%50.80%53.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.62%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.86%4.79السعر العادل
EV +2.22%
الأفضلية +0.453%
Kelly +0.570%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.09%20.76%20.79%22.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.534.504.9023.81%22.07%22.22%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.41%3.52السعر العادل
EV -4.55%
الأفضلية -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.33%28.35%28.42%29.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.253.253.3632.26%30.78%30.77%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 21:59
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.19%E -5.14%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -9.70%E -5.45%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +2.22%E +0.453%K +0.570%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 21:46
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.12%EV -0.490%E -0.103%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -4.55%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 21:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -0.908%E -0.191%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -11.73%E -6.74%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -1.95%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.76%E -8.09%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 21:59
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -13.25%E -7.75%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -4.04%E -0.878%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:58
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -8.18%E -4.52%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -5.08%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:00
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:58
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -5.13%E -2.75%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 21:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -7.67%E -4.21%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.30%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.15%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 22:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 21:58
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 21:59
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-04-01 22:00
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.0%2026-04-01 22:00