Language:English
Sport Recife v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV +0.457%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport Recife (Local): 51.27%; Avai (Visit): 21.33%; Draw: 27.40%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.457%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |