La scuola delle quote

Sport Recife v Avai

Inizio: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sport Recife (Casa)

Previsione 51.27%1.95quota equa
EV -5.66%
Vantaggio -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avai (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.33%4.69quota equa
EV +0.457%
Vantaggio +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.40%3.65quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:45
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:54
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 18:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:45
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 20:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 20:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-04-11 20:55