L’École des cotes

Sport Recife v Avai

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Prévision 51.27%1.95cote équitable
EV -5.66%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avai (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.33%4.69cote équitable
EV +0.457%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:45
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:54
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 18:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:45
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 20:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 20:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-04-11 20:55