Школа коэффициентов

Sport Recife v Avai

Начало: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sport Recife (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.27%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.66%
Преимущество -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.84

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Avai (Гости)

Прогноз 21.33%4.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.457%
Преимущество +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.71

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.40%3.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.82%
Преимущество -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:45
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:54
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 18:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:45
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 20:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 20:34
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-04-11 20:55