A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Sport Recife v Avai
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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Sport Recife (Local)
Previsão 51.27%1.95odd justa
EV -5.66%
Vantagem -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Avai (Visitante)
Previsão 21.33%4.69odd justa
EV +0.457%
Vantagem +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Crescimento +0.001%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.71
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 27.40%3.65odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |