La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sport Recife v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 51.27%1.95momio equitativo
EV -5.66%
Ventaja -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 21.33%4.69momio equitativo
EV +0.457%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:43 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-11 20:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |