مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Avai

البداية: 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.27%1.95السعر العادل
EV -5.66%
الأفضلية -3.08%
Kelly -6.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.07%51.38%51.20%53.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.801.8458.82%56.01%55.56%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Avai (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.33%4.69السعر العادل
EV +0.457%
الأفضلية +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.83%21.29%21.37%23.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.384.404.7126.67%22.83%22.73%21.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.40%3.65السعر العادل
EV -3.82%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.24%27.33%27.43%28.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.94%29.85%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.40%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:45
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV +0.457%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.71%EV -7.65%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:54
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.244%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 20:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:55
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.77%E -5.55%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -2.96%E -0.650%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:54
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:43
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -11.82%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.20%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 20:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 18:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 20:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.78%EV -7.20%E -3.98%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 20:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:45
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -6.69%E -3.68%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 20:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.25%E -5.23%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 20:54
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.28%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 20:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -12.55%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.72%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 20:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-04-11 20:55