赔率学院

Ponte Preta v Criciuma

开赛时间: 2026-07-08 23:02 UTC

最终结果: Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Ponte Preta (主队)

预测 15.60%6.41公平赔率
EV +2.51%
优势 +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 6.57

博彩公司预测分布
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

Criciuma (客队)

预测 58.35%1.71公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 26.05%3.84公平赔率
EV -3.37%
优势 -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:59
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:59
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 23:00
1xBet6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:59
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 22:59
LowVig.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-08 22:59
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:59
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-08 23:00
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 22:51
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 22:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 22:59
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 23:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95%0.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-07-08 23:00