Язык:Русский
Ponte Preta v Criciuma
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ponte Preta (Хозяева)
Прогноз 15.60%6.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.51%
Преимущество +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.57
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Criciuma (Гости)
Прогноз 58.35%1.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.30%
Преимущество -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.64
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.05%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.37%
Преимущество -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ponte Preta (Хозяева): 15.60%; Criciuma (Гости): 58.35%; Ничья: 26.05%. Для исхода «Ponte Preta (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.41. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.57, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.51%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-08 22:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |