Die Schule der Quoten

Ponte Preta v Criciuma

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-08 23:02 UTC

Endstand: Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ponte Preta (Heim)

Prognose 15.60%6.41faire Quote
EV +2.51%
Vorteil +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Criciuma (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.35%1.71faire Quote
EV -4.30%
Vorteil -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.05%3.84faire Quote
EV -3.37%
Vorteil -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:59
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:59
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 23:00
1xBet6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:59
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 22:59
LowVig.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-08 22:59
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:59
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-08 23:00
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 22:51
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 22:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 22:59
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 23:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95%0.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-07-08 23:00