Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.57
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ponte Preta (Casa): 15.60%; Criciuma (Trasferta): 58.35%; Pareggio: 26.05%. Per Ponte Preta (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.41. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.57, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.51%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-08 22:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |