مدرسة الاحتمالاتPonte Preta v Criciuma
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ponte Preta (المضيف)
التنبؤ 15.60%6.41السعر العادل
EV +2.51%
الأفضلية +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
النمو +0.011%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.57
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Criciuma (الضيف)
التنبؤ 58.35%1.71السعر العادل
EV -4.30%
الأفضلية -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 26.05%3.84السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.71
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetUS | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-08 22:51 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |