L’École des cotesPonte Preta v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 15.60%6.41cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 6.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.35%1.71cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetUS | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-08 22:51 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 1.6% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |